Santa Anita Nov 5 2022 – Test Prog

Overall Stats
46% 54%

Sports - Horse Racing Stats
75% 25%

KCBS BBQ Stats

17% 83%

Sports - Hockey Stats

53% 47%

Sports - Soccer Stats

40% 60%

From Jeff Siegel: RACE 4: Post: 2:22 ET Grade: X Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Hialeah Hottie Backups/savers: none Forecast: Hialeah Hottie finished second in a maiden $40,000 sprint for juvenile fillies here last month while more than five lengths clear of the rest and today returns as the 4/5 favorite in a maiden $32,000 affair with a considerable edge in the speed figure department. Clearly, her connections doesn’t care if they lose her (and we suspect they will), so this may not be a short price worth taking in a race that probably is best avoided. She’s a likely winner in an empty race, but there is little to no wagering value to be found, so tread lightly.

From Jeff Siegel: RACE 5: Post: 3:04 PT Grade: B+ Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Liberty Forever; 8-Exceed Speed Limit Backups/savers: Forecast: Liberty Forever just won a similar state-bred first level allowance affair two-turning on grass but is eligible for the same condition because today he’s sprinting on dirt. The good news for the son of Dixie Chatter is that he’s probably just as effective on the main track and around one turn, so there’s no reason to think this versatile Peter Miller-trained sophomore can’t come right back and win again. With regular pilot Juan Hernandez away at Keeneland today with more important things to do, hot-riding Ramon Vasquez (32% with this barn) gladly picks up the mount. Exceed Speed Limit, himself a turf sprint winner last time out at this level and eligible to return in the same type of race on dirt, has won five of 15 career starts while employing an effective late-running style. He’s a two-time winner at this abbreviated sprint distance and should be heard from late. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play.

From Jeff Siegel: RACE 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: X Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Gypsy King Backups/savers: 6-Rip City Forecast: Gypsy King finished a close third in a recent downhill turf dash and today stretches out to a mile, a distance he should be able to handle (he finished fifth in a Kentucky Downs stakes in his only prior route try two years ago). The Phil D’Amato-trained gelding projects to be on the lead or very close to it, and with rising speed figures coupled with a favorable pace flow the son of Summer Front looks fairly solid at 7/2 on the morning line. Rip City shows several races in his chart that could win this race, but this will be his first start since being claimed by Steve Knapp for $80,000 out of a ninth place finish in the same race our top pick exits. On the chance that he returns to top form for his new connections, we’ll use the veteran City Zip gelding as a backup while saving the main punch for Gypsy King.

From Jeff Siegel: RACE 9: Post: 4:40 PT Grade: B- Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Holiday Arousal Backups/savers: 2-Doc Adams; 9-Back Ring Luck Forecast: Based on the raw form this $25,000 claiming sprint has two “must use” contenders, but both have unhealthy activity patterns, so it may be wise to look elsewhere. Doc Adams was fairly solid winning a first-level allowance state bred main track miler in late August at Del Mar and today shows up in a straight $25,000 claimer, which may realistically be where he belongs based on speed figures and the fact that he was a voided claim for $25,000 last spring. On the other hand, the Vronsky gelding missed the entire month of September and worked only twice last month. Hard to say what kind of shape he’s in, but from a low profile outfit we’re not terribly optimistic. Back Ring Luck earned a big figure in an off-the-turf nine furlong affair for this price in early September and was haltered by trainer Steve Knapp, who then kept him in the barn for almost two months before bringing him back at the same level, not a normal pattern for this outfit and certainly not one that that inspires confidence. The gelding’s record over the Santa Anita main track (unplaced in five starts) is another red flag. On the other hand, Knapp’s other entrant – the first-off-the-$16,000-claim Holiday Arousal – seems the most trustworthy of the group, as the lightly-raced gelding, who began his career cheap up north (M8,000) has won his last three starts with rising speed figures and is being jumped in class following his most recent win for $16,000. He might be the one to hook your wagon to.